Goldman sachs predicts team World Cup title
As a quadrennial event, the World Cup draw are not just for sports lovers.Recently, the famous American investment bank Goldman sachs in a report made a prediction for the World Cup.
Economists at Goldman sachs through the establishment of data model, analyzed since 1960, more than 1960 international caps, finally it is concluded that their prediction results of the World Cup.Five World Cup crown in Brazil 2-1 at home to 6 jinbei possibility of up to 48.5%, and the second is the selecao rival of Argentina.However, pampas eagle title chances of 14.1%, almost just one-third of Brazil's scudetto chances.
To this, the author of the report, Goldman sachs's chief economist, said: "of course, this conclusion is not at all surprising. As two of the most successful team in soccer history, Brazil and Argentina's World Cup final. But Brazil in prediction model has the advantages of such a huge or how much surprised us."
South American giants, Germany's biggest hit, they answer is probability of 11.4%, become the European team in the most a championship team.Spain and the Netherlands (9.8%) (5.6%) of the fourth and fifth in the list.Cameroon, Algeria and Honduras is considered by Goldman sachs completely impossible to win the championship.
And expensive for the European traditional giants England, is considered by Goldman sachs only a 1.4% chance to finally win.Goldman sachs analysis, England will eventually become the third group cannot qualify, and will leave Brazil a not resort despondently.And reach the next round in the same group will be in Italy and Uruguay.Group, however, England London rivals Italy also is only a 1.5% chance of winning, and the two "" the three lions.
Goldman, of course, this is based on the data of past games model prediction is not foolproof, four years ago, before the World Cup in South Africa hot, they also predict Brazil is the largest scudetto chances as high as 26.6%.But dunga led the team in the quarter-final elimination, the silverware is Goldman sachs predicted at the time the second favourites.
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